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2024-12-14 04:54:47

Today, there is a wave of daily limit in the two major outlets. "No bean bags, no AI." With the continuous fermentation of the concept of bean curd in A-shares, some investors shouted such a slogan. Bean bag+toys, bean bag+advertising and marketing, bean bag+data, bean bag+computing power, bean bag+headphones ... Haitian Ruisheng, Runxin Technology, Shengguang Group and other concept stocks have caused continuous market pursuit. This morning, the concept of bean curd became active again, and the AI application end and hardware end of bean curd rose together. Lexin Technology, Zhongke Lanxun, Juxin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, which are known as the "four little dragons" of end-side AI SOC (system on a chip), rose collectively in intraday trading. Runze Technology, a computing stock, rose more than 16%, and its share price reached a new high. In addition, this morning, the market paid more attention to the concept of starting economy, and the exhibition and IP economy sectors rose. The ground element fashion gap opened higher, and it didn't take long for the daily limit to open. The reason is that Shanghai Disu Fashion Co., Ltd. was listed in the "2023 Shanghai First Economic Leading Brand List" published at the end of last year. (CSI)CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.


Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.Sumitomo Rubber said that the price of domestic commercial tires and related products increased on April 1, 2025. Sumitomo Rubber raised the price of Japanese tires by 6-8% on average.Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week.


India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.

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